New research shows
how to use CDx3 Preferred Stocks to generate
double-digit returns during the current "credit
crisis." For the month ending March 2008,
the average effective annual return reached
11.84% using the highest-quality, lowest-risk
preferred stocks - CDx3 Preferred Stocks.
This new research
is very exciting and I am anxious to tell you
about it; but a little background is needed
first for our new readers.
Highest-Quality,
Lowest-Risk: To be considered a
"CDx3 Preferred Stock," regular preferred stocks
must meet all ten of the CDx3 Selection Criteria
(as described throughout Chapter 1 of
Preferred Stock Investing). Here is a
sample of just three of the ten CDx3 Selection
Criteria; CDx3 Preferred Stocks must:
1. be rated
"investment grade" by Moodys;
2. be issued by a
company with a perfect record of never having
suspended a dividend on a preferred stock; and
3. have
the "cumulative" dividend requirement,
which means that in the unlikely event that the
issuing company misses a dividend payment to you
(which I have never seen happen with a CDx3
Preferred Stock), they have to make it up to you
later; they still owe you the money.
I've written many
articles regarding how, during this credit
crisis, the dividend rates being paid by CDx3
Preferred Stocks have been steadily increasing.
Rates Up, Prices Down:
Preferred Stock Investing explains how, when
rates are rising, the market prices of
previously issued CDx3 Preferred Stocks will
tend to fall; that is, rates and prices tend to
move in opposite directions. This is
called the Rule of Rate/Price Opposition, one of
the three Rules of Market Price Predictability
explained within Chapter 5 of Preferred Stock
Investing.
Such conditions
create a "buyer's market" where you can purchase
relatively high dividend paying CDx3 Preferred
Stocks at bargain basement prices.
Here's an
update to the chart that I showed you last month
illustrating how the average dividend rate being
paid by CDx3 Preferred Stocks has now exceeded
8.1%, while the interest rate being paid by your
average bank Certificate of Deposit (CD) has
tanked (and is actually now below the annual
inflation rate).
New Research Shows
Top Candidates:
With dividend rates climbing, there must be some
real bargains available at low market prices;
but, from the vast sea of CDx3 Preferred Stocks,
how does a CDx3 Investor identify the strongest
candidates? And when does the market price
tend to be at its lowest; that is, when is the
best time to buy?
These are
questions that the most recent research into the
market price behavior of CDx3 Preferred Stocks
answers. This new research, just released
to
CDx3 Notification Service subscribers on
April 1st (no fooling), provides a structured
method for identifying the CDx3 Preferred
Stocks each month that are most likely to provide the
highest returns during a buyer's market (now).
Each month, a CDx3
Investor can apply this method (or just
subscribe to the
CDx3 Notification Service and
let us do it for you) to identify not only the
best candidates to consider purchasing, but also
the best time to look for the lowest market
price.
Here are the 21 candidate CDx3
Preferred Stocks that were identified on March
28, 2008 (remember, this list is different every
month so this is just an example):
When CDx3
Preferred Stocks are first issued, they cost
$25.00 per share.
Using the Three
Rules of Market Price Predictability from
Preferred Stock Investing, March 28, 2008
was a good date to look up the market prices for
these CDx3 Preferred Stocks. The
average market price of this list of 21 CDx3
Preferred Stocks was $21.96 per share on that
day.
You can clearly
see the effect of the Rule of Rate/Price
Opposition on the market price of these CDx3
Preferred Stocks. As dividend rates have
increased (see above chart, top line), the
market prices have decreased well below $25 - creating a very
strong "buyer's market."
Because CDx3
Preferred Stocks pay you a fixed dividend amount
every quarter, and the dividend amount is based
on $25.00, the return on your investment
actually goes up when you purchase CDx3
Preferred Stocks for less than $25.00 (called
"yield").
Low Prices Mean High
Yields: Here is the dividend yield
for each of our 21 ending-March candidates
(using the March 28 purchase prices):
But the best part is yet to come.
Those of you who
have read Preferred Stock Investing know
that the investment method that is described
therein - the CDx3 Income Engine - derives its
spectacular results from producing a combination
of both dividend income plus capital gain income
(the profit that you make when you sell your
CDx3 Preferred Stock down-stream for a higher
price than what you purchased it for).
Let's see what
happens when we add the potential capital gain
onto these dividend yields. |
Rates Down, Prices Up:
As rates fall from the current average of 8.1%
(the highest that we have enjoyed in years) back down to, say, 6.75%, what
do you think that the average market price of
today's 8.1%-ers is going to do?
Companies that
issue CDx3 Preferred Stocks are absolutely
itching for the slightest excuse to start
lowering these relatively high dividend rates
that they are having to pay on CDx3 Preferred
Stocks. Just as market prices tend to decrease
when rates are going up, the opposite is equally
true; market prices tend to increase when rates
come back down. This mechanism provides
you with the potential for a spectacular
downstream capital gain, in addition to the
great dividend income that you'll be earning in
the mean time. Dividends plus capital
gains - the CDx3 Income Engine at work.
Built-In Buyer:
What if I were to tell you that there was,
within a reasonable doubt, an excellent chance
that someone was going to buy your CDx3
Preferred Stock downstream for $25 per share,
regardless of what you originally paid? And,
sitting here today, I can even tell you who it
might be.
CDx3 Preferred
Stocks, by definition, have a five year
lifespan. Five years after they are first
issued, the issuing company of your CDx3
Preferred Stock regains the right to
purchase your shares back from you and, if they
do so, they are required to pay you $25.00 per
share. CDx3 Preferred Stocks that are
issued during a period of relatively high
dividend rates are very likely to be "called" (read
why).
3.3 Times Bank CDs:
Now, if the market price goes above $25.00
before the five years are up (called the "call
date"), it is going to be very tempting to sell
your CDx3 Preferred Stock shares and collect
your profit (capital gain). But let's see
what your return would be if you held onto your
shares until the call date and the issuing
company "calls" the issue (buys it back from you
at $25 per share). Here are our 21
candidates again, but now I have added a column
that shows how adding a capital gain improves
the return on your investment (as measure by the effective annual return)
above and beyond the dividend yield alone:
In the event that
the issuing company calls the issue on the call
date, the CDx3 Income Engine would produce an
average effective annual return across our 21
candidates of 11.84%. That's 3.3 times
what you would earn by investing in the average
bank CD available during March 2008 (see chart
at left, bottom line); and now you also know
where the CDx3 (CD times 3) Income Engine gets
its name.
CDx3 Bargain Table:
This table, with a few additional columns, is
called the CDx3 Bargain Table. The
candidates change from month to month. During
"buyer's market" conditions, subscribers to the
CDx3 Notification Service receive the CDx3
Bargain Table in each monthly issue of the
subscriber's newsletter - CDx3 Research Notes.
We do all of the work for them.
If you would like
to learn how to produce the monthly CDx3 Bargain
Table on your own, there is an instructional
document that has been posted for readers of
Preferred Stock Investing. Chapter 9
of Preferred Stock Investing tells
readers how to obtain periodic updates and the
April 2008 update, now available, provides a
step-by-step description of how to produce the
CDx3 Bargain Table yourself each month.
To purchase
Preferred Stock Investing,
click here.
If you would like to subscribe to the CDx3
Notification Service,
click here. If you
already have a copy of Preferred Stock
Investing, check out Chapter 9 and follow
the update instructions - the instructional
document that you will receive is free to you.
By using the Three
Rules of Market Price Predictability from
Preferred Stock Investing in a specific way,
CDx3 Investors can turn the "credit crisis" to
their advantage as the CDx3 Bargain Table shows
you where the bargains really are.
Disclaimers and Caveats:
In addition to the Disclaimer at the bottom of
this CDx3 Newsletter, please remember
that the results shown here will vary with
changes in market price. You should obtain
current market prices and update the
calculations presented here prior to making
investment decisions.
The market prices
presented here are provided by a third-party
service provider that does not warrant or
guarantee accuracy; therefore, I
offer no such warrant or guarantee. I reserve the right to update the
information seen here at any time without
notice.
Also remember that
there is no guarantee that the issuing company
of a CDx3 Preferred Stock will exercise their
right to call the issue in the future.
Please do not take
this explanation as a recom-mendation to buy, or
not to buy. Deciding whether
or not to purchase any of these candidate CDx3
Preferred Stocks is consistent with your
personal financial resources, goals and risk
tolerance is a decision that only you can make.
Investing with the
issuing companies indicated here may not be
consistent with your risk tolerance; it is always
a good idea to do your homework before you
invest. You can use the
Yahoo Finance web site, among others, to
research company information, recent headlines
and upgrade/downgrade announcements. |