One of the highest reader-rated books in the United States.

 

See the new Fifth Edition of Preferred Stock Investing at Amazon!

   
 

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In This Issue...

High Quality Preferred Stocks

Preferred Stock News

Special Announcement

Preferred Stock Facts

FREE Special Offer

   
 

For New Readers...

Welcome to all of the new CDx3 Newsletter readers who signed up over the last month. This is your first issue of the CDx3 Newsletter, a free monthly newsletter devoted to the interests of CDx3 Preferred Stock investors.

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Quick Summary

This month's High Quality Preferred Stocks article lists the six highest quality preferred stocks that are selling for a sub-$25 market price, offering income investors an average current yield of 6.4 percent. Out of the 917 preferred stocks and exchange-traded debt securities that were trading on U.S. stock exchanges at the end of October 2014, our preferred stock search engine found six specific high quality issues selling below their $25 par value. (jump to article)

The Preferred Stock News presents a snapshot of the U.S. preferred stock marketplace at the end of the third quarter and identifies four "maximum yield" preferreds. With the third quarter of 2014 now behind us, the number of investment grade preferred stocks selling for a market price below $25 is now at 71. While 71 candidates is much lower than the 167 we started the year with, it is still plenty for preferred stock buyers to pick from. (jump to article)

The Special Announcement article announces the availability of the 5th Edition of my book, Preferred Stock Investing. I update the book every other year with the most recent preferred stock research, focusing on the conditions that preferred stock investors are expected to be facing. Learn to screen, buy and sell the highest quality preferred stocks. (jump to article)

The Preferred Stock Facts article is presented both here and on the PreferredStockInvesting.com website. Test your knowledge by clicking on any preferred stock question to see the multiple-choice answers. You will receive an automatic email that provides you with the correct answer and my explanation. (jump to article)

The Free Special Offer article explains how you can now have continuing preferred stock research delivered to you for free. Why wait until next month's CDx3 Newsletter to find out what is going on in the preferred stock marketplace? Throughout the month I post regular research articles on my blog and make them available to you for free. (jump to article)

Enjoy this month's issue. I look forward to reporting back to you in next month's issue of the CDx3 Newsletter.

Doug K. Le Du

I am a preferred stock researcher and author of the book titled Preferred Stock Investing. I am also a syndicated writer for the popular investing venues Seeking Alpha and The Motley Fool. I write three monthly newsletters that describe my ongoing preferred stock research. One newsletter, titled Preferred Stock List, is published by PortfolioChannel.com while the other two newsletters (CDx3 Newsletter and CDx3 Research Notes) are published by me directly to my readers/subscribers.

My academic background is in economics and statistics. I retired from my position as Managing Director at one of the world's largest management consulting firms in 2002 to focus on preferred stock research. I do not sell preferred stocks nor am I a stock broker or financial adviser. As a researcher, I research the market price behavior of the highest quality preferred stocks and write to you about my observations.

 

   
 

6 Investment Grade, 6+ Percent Cumulative Preferreds Available Under $25

Preferred stock search engine finds these six out of 917 alternatives

The six highest quality preferred stocks that are selling for a sub-$25 market price are offering income investors an average 6.4 percent current yield in today's preferred stock marketplace.

As rates and prices move up and down over time, buyers buy when rates increase and prices fall below par ($25 per share in this case). Sellers sell those shares when rates fall again, pushing prices back above their original purchase price, enjoying seven percent (long-term average) dividends in the meantime.

This is why preferred stock investing is long-term investing, taking advantage of the known inverse relationship between rates and prices over time.

The search engine parameters seen in Figure 1 look for preferred stocks and exchange-traded debt securities (ETDs) that are currently trading below their $25 par value, pay a minimum annual dividend of at least 6.0 percent, have cumulative dividends and offer investment grade ratings from Moody's Investors Service.

Currently priced below par

Purchasing shares below $25 is an important consideration for many preferred stock investors. In the event that your shares are redeemed (bought back from you) by the issuing company, shareholders will receive the security's par value in cash in exchange for their shares. By purchasing shares below their par value ($25 in most cases and in all of the cases shown here), preferred stock investors are able to add a layer of principal protection to their investment while also positioning themselves for a downstream capital gain in the event of a future call.

Figure 1 shows the complete filter used to find these gems. Of the nineteen parameters that can be set, the four arrows highlight the keys for this search. Setting the "Currently priced below par" parameter to "Yes" does the magic here.

In addition to finding the highest quality issues that are currently trading below their $25 par value, this filter also limits the list to issues that have not suspended their dividend payments. Setting the "Dividend rate at least" parameter (center left under the Dividends heading) to 6.000 eliminates securities with very low, variable or adjustable dividend rates. And by setting "Today's price, at least" to $0.01 and "Today's volume, at least" to 1 share the filter will exclude less liquid issues (securities that have not traded today).

This is just one example. Click on the filter image to see another one along with a more detailed explanation.

Results

Figure 2 shows the results when this search is applied to our Preferred Stock ListTM database (please note that to protect the values of subscriptions to the CDx3 Notification Service, trading symbols are obscured here). Already a CDx3 Notification Service subscriber? See page 6 of the November 2014 issue of the subscriber's newsletter, CDx3 Research Notes, that you received on October 30 for symbols.

There were a total of 917 preferred stocks and ETDs trading on U.S. stock exchanges as October 2014 came to a close. Of these 917, six specific high quality issues are trading below their $25 par value (October 28, 2014 prices). This list is sorted by dividend rate (coupon) with the highest payers listed first.

The securities shown in green font are ETDs (ETDs are bonds that trade on the stock exchange rather than the bond market and are very similar to preferred socks) while the remaining securities listed are preferred stocks. All have a current market price (seen in the Last Price column) that is below their $25 par value (as shown in the Liquid Price column) and enjoy an investment grade rating from Moody's (the Moody's column).

Keep an eye out for sub-$25 buying opportunities such as those listed here. The lower your purchase price, the more principal protection you'll have. The preferred stocks and ETDs listed in Figure 2 are offering some of the best choices available to you as an income investor.

Please consider becoming a subscriber to the CDx3 Notification Service today.

Already a subscriber? The trading symbols for this example are provided on page 6 of the November 2014 issue of the subscriber's newsletter, CDx3 Research Notes.

 

Learn To Screen, Buy and Sell The Highest Quality Preferred Stocks

Preferred Stock Investing is one of the highest reader-rated books in the United States with 77 reviews posted at Amazon.

A new edition of Preferred Stock Investing is published every other year in order to keep up with current market trends and research. The Fifth Edition addresses selecting, buying and selling the highest quality preferred stocks during the market conditions that we are expected to face.

See: Reviews | Table of Contents | Free Excerpt | Paperback | eBook

Preferred Stock Investing includes the information, websites and other resources needed for you to be a very successful preferred stock investor. The Fifth Edition is now available at your favorite online retailer.

For those who would rather someone else do the research and calculations, I offer the CDx3 Notification Service. Subscribers to the CDx3 Notification Service receive an email alert whenever a new preferred stock or exchange-traded debt security is introduced. Subscribers also receive their own non-promotional preferred stock research newsletter every month, have their own website that hosts the Preferred Stock ListTM database and have access to the CDx3 Discussion Group, the only online forum just for preferred stock investors.

Invest in the best. Subscribe to the CDx3 Notification Service today.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Figure 1

Preferred Stock Search Engine

INVESTMENT GRADE, CUMULATIVE DIVIDENDS,

CURRENTLY PRICED BELOW $25 PAR

 

Source: CDx3 Notification Service, www.PreferredStockInvesting.com

 

Click To See Bigger Screen Sample

 

 

 

 


 

Figure 2

The Six Highest Quality Preferreds

PRICED BELOW $25 PAR (October 28, 2014 prices)

 

Source: Preferred Stock List(TM), PreferredStockInvesting.com

 

Subscribe For Trading Symbols

 

(Already a subscriber? For actual symbols see page 6 of the November 2014 issue of the subscriber's newsletter, CDx3 Research Notes).

 
   
 

Investment Grade Preferred Stocks Available Below $25

71 investment grade preferred stocks are now available for less than their $25 par value

With the third quarter of 2014 now behind us, the number of investment grade preferred stocks selling for a market price below $25 is now at 71. While 71 candidates is much lower than the 167 we started the year with, it is still plenty for preferred stock buyers to pick from.

At the end of 2013, preferred stock investors were certain that as the Fed tapered out of its QE bond-buying program, interest rates would go up. After all, when the Fed launched QE with the objective of lowering rates, the program worked so it seemed reasonable that backing out of QE would have the opposite effect.

In anticipation of higher rates, the average market price of preferred stock shares fell to $23.05 as 2013 came to a close, pushing up the number of investment grade candidates that were selling below their par value ($25 in most cases) to 167.

The Preferred Stock Market, Q3/2014

As we now know, the expected rate increase did not materialize as the Fed exited their QE program. The price drop that we saw at the end of last year turned out to be short-lived. Predictably, average preferred stock prices are now about where they were a year or so ago at $25.16 per share.

The Preferred Stock Market Snapshot™ chart seen in Figure 3 depicts the preferred stock marketplace at the end of Q3/2014 (October 24, 2014) along with two characteristics that are usually high on the list of considerations for risk-averse preferred stock investors -- current market price (above and below these securities' $25 par value) and investment risk (as reflected by investment grade versus speculative grade Moody's ratings).

Each diamond represents a preferred stock. The sweet spot of the preferred stock marketplace is depicted in the green lower-left quadrant -- investment grade preferreds selling for a market price below their $25 par value.

While there are currently 917 preferred stocks trading on U.S. stock exchanges, 322 meet the criteria listed under the chart. The arrow in the table below the chart points to the migration that we have seen this year. As prices have increased this year, the percentage of the market occupied by investment grade securities that are priced below $25 has fallen to 22 percent, down from 47 percent at the end of 2013.

The Preferred Stock Market, Q3/2014

The purple diamonds on the chart identify the four preferred stocks that are offering the maximum current yield from each quadrant (not to be taken as recommendations): TDE, HSEA, MHO-A and GDP-C.

Figure 4 presents some of the details for these four "maximum yield" securities.

Note that for comparison purposes, I have selected Current Yield (CY) for the Yield column rather than Yield-To-Call (YTC) or Effective Annual Return (EAR) since two of these four securities have exceeded their call dates (YTC and EAR are not able to be calculated in those cases).

TDE is an Exchange-Traded Debt Security (ETDs) introduced by Telephone and Data Systems (NYSE:TDS) in November of 2010, becoming callable on November 15, 2015. TDE's Baa2 rating is two notches into Moody's investment grade rating scale. ETDs are very similar to preferred stocks and are often labeled as such, but they are actually bonds that trade on the stock exchange (rather than the bond market). ETDs offer cumulative dividends and are recorded on the company's books as debt rather than equity. As bonds, ETDs are generally seen as having less investment risk than the same company's preferred stocks. At 6.96 percent, TDE has the highest current yield of today's investment grade securities that are trading below their $25 par values.

HSEA is a trust preferred stock (TRUPS) introduced by Britain's largest bank, HSBC Holdings PLC (NYSE:HSBC), at 8.125 percent in April 2008 and has been callable since April 15, 2013. Note that HSEA offers Qualified Dividend Income (QDI) to individual investors (but not corporate investors since HSBC is a foreign company). As a TRUPS, HSEA provides cumulative dividends but today's buyers should be sure to read the prospectus of this security since the issuer, at their option and at any time, is able to convert these cumulative HSEA shares into non-cumulative "dollar preference shares." Today's buyers may also have to find a way to overlook the $1.92 billion fine that HSBC was required to pay in late-2012 for providing illegal banking services to the world's drug cartels (see "Bleak day for British banking as Libor arrests follow record fine for HSBC", The Guardian, December 11, 2012) and the bank's role in the LIBOR manipulation scandal more recently. Today's $26.24 market price exposes buyers to a $1.24 capital loss in the event of a redemption of HSEA shares.

MHO-A is a traditional preferred stock introduced in March 2007 at 9.75 percent by M/I Homes, Inc. (NYSE:MHO). M/I Homes was founded in 1973 and develops single family homes throughout the United States. At Caa1, MHO-A is well into Moody's speculative grade rating scale which explains the 9.57 percent current yield for this security. Shareholders were caught short during the summer of 2008 when the company suspended the dividends on these non-cumulative shares. Dividend payments were resumed in June 2013. Trading at $25.47, today's buyers are exposed to a $0.47 per share capital loss in the event of a redemption (MHO-A became callable on April 10, 2013).

GDP-C is a traditional preferred stock offering cumulative dividends and was introduced in April 2013 by Goodrich Petroleum (NYSE:GDP) at 10.0 percent. Its Caa2 rating is so low that this security is barely hanging onto the low end of the Moody's scale. The early-October plunge in global oil prices showed up quickly in the market prices for energy-related securities. GDP-C started October at $26.30 per share but dropped as low as $18.51 on October 13. The more risk-tolerant among us might consider GDP-C as a capital gain opportunity, assuming that those in charge of manipulating global oil prices are able to push prices back up. Note too that GDP-C is a QDI-designated security.

These four securities from four vastly different companies are offering the maximum current yields in the four key quadrants depicted by the Preferred Stock Market Snapshot™ chart.

SEC prospectus filings for TDE | HSEA | MHO-A | GDP-C

What's Next?

A strong retail sales report on September 11 pushed preferred stock prices lower for the second consecutive month -- the first two-month drop this year. The implication was that if retail sales are picking up, inflation cannot be far behind so the Fed will surely be bumping up rates any time now.

But when global oil prices fell during early October, speculators had the opposite reaction -- lower fuel costs drive prices down, which is sure to postpone any thoughts the Fed may have about raising rates.

Those reacting to such events are applying the short-term thinking of a value investor (buy low, sell high) to a long-term income investment (preferred stocks), which often creates buying opportunities for preferred stock investors who are paying attention.
 


More Preferred Stock Research

FROM DOUG K. LE DU

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Figure 4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   
 

Fifth Edition of Preferred Stock Investing is Now Shipping!

Learn how to screen, buy and sell the highest quality preferred stocks

Preferred Stock Investing is one of the highest reader-rated books in the United States with 77 reviews posted at Amazon.

A new edition of Preferred Stock Investing is published every other year in order to keep up with current market trends and research. The Fifth Edition addresses selecting, buying and selling the highest quality preferred stocks during the market conditions that we are expected to face.

See: Reviews | Table of Contents | Free Excerpt | Paperback | eBook

The new Fifth Edition has 21 chapters organized into six Parts over 334 pages.

Here are some highlights:

- Part I, "The Preferred Stock Market," introduces a new suite of charts and metrics specifically designed to measure and track the preferred stock marketplace.

- Part III, "Buying the Highest Quality Preferred Stocks," includes several new chapters such as "Buying 'Fed-Free' Preferred Stocks," "Keeping Up with Increasing Interest Rates" and "Buying Less-Than-Perfect Preferred Stocks."

- And chapter 8, "Managing the Risks," has been completely rewritten and expanded to include risks that are unique to preferred stocks during the increasing rate environment that awaits us.

You can pick up a copy of the new Fifth Edition of Preferred Stock Investing at your favorite online retailer such as Amazon (paperback) or directly from BookLocker, the book's publisher (BookLocker provides paperback and PDF eBook formats).

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

   
 

Test Your Knowledge With These Preferred Stock Facts!

There's a lot to like about preferred stocks. And many aspects of selecting, buying and selling the highest quality issues are misunderstood. Here are a few frequently asked questions that illustrate some of the more subtle points of preferred stock investing.

Clicking on any of the below questions will open a new window on your screen. Each question is presented with multiple-choice answers. Test your knowledge by submitting your best guess and I will automatically email you my analysis with the correct answer (and no spam, ever).

 


 


 

 

 

   
 

Preferred Stock Market Research Now Available All Month Long - Free

Automatic Email delivery of preferred stock market research now available

Readers do not have to wait until next month's issue of the CDx3 Newsletter to stay plugged into the market for high quality preferred stocks. Preferred stock research articles, marketplace observations and preferred stock news from the financial press and other information are posted to the Preferred Stock Investing Reader's Forum (my "blog") throughout the month.

To receive articles by email automatically without having to visit the Forum, click here

 A separate window from FeedBurner (a Google service) will open on your screen. Enter and verify the email address that you want articles from the Forum to be emailed to as instructed. And don't worry - you'll never receive any spam from me and your email address will not be shared.

By receiving the articles as I post them via email, you do not have to visit the Forum in order to stay plugged into my research regarding the marketplace for the highest quality preferred stocks.

Please accept my invitation to receive articles by email and visit the Forum 


 

 

   
   

Learn to screen, buy and sell the highest quality preferred stocks by purchasing the new Fifth Edition of my  book, Preferred Stock Investing (see retailers). The book identifies the resources that you need to be a very successful CDx3 Investor completely on your own. If you would rather we do the research and calculations for you I offer the CDx3 Notification Service (see reader comments).

Chapter 17 of Preferred Stock Investing includes a list of all of the CDx3 Preferred Stocks issued since January 2001 and the investing results you would have achieved had you invested in them using the CDx3 Income Engine.

Please take a look at www.PreferredStockInvesting.com.

And if you know someone who might be interested in simple investing for non-experts please have them sign up for this free monthly preferred stock research newsletter at www.PreferredStockInvesting.com. They will automatically begin receiving this monthly CDx3 Newsletter next month (plus a CDx3 Special Report) - all FREE. 

Many Happy Returns,

Doug K. Le Du

 

 

 
   
 

Copyright (c) 2014 by Del Mar Research, LLC.

Preferred Stock List, CD Times 3, CDx3, CDx3 Income Engine, CDx3 Investor, CDx3 Portfolio, CDx3 Preferred Stock, CDx3 Perfect Market Index, CDx3 Bargain Table are trademarks of Del Mar Research, LLC.  All rights reserved.

DISCLAIMER: The content of this CDx3 Newsletter is to be regarded as educational, rather than advisory. There can always be exceptions to trends and/or generalizations that may be discussed herein. Consider your financial resources, goals and risk tolerance before investing. You, and not Del Mar Research, LLC, are solely responsible for your own investment decisions.